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Lost Grouse,

All you need to do to answer your question is to prop up a large piece of cardboard against a tree, mark an aiming spot near the center of the cardboard, back up about 30 yards, and carefully AIM and shoot at the mark.

Assuming you don't flinch or jerk the trigger, then the center of the pattern will tell you where the gun shoots relative to the aim point using your type of gun mount and aim.

As some have said, shotguns aren't usually "aimed" and often times the target is moving. Nevertheless, this simple experiment will show you where you would shoot if the target were stationary.
 
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